Post by viva padrepio Post by Malcolm McMahon Post by viva padrepio
"We got your back, Kim!!!"
I guess that's better than having his front.
The ordinary North Koreans are about as equipped for making sensible ethical
decisions as a lifetime Moonie.
They deserve only our sympathy, though our help would be nice. They
certainly don't deserve to be nuked.
Tell you what's going to happen next. They'll fire off some missiles
programmed to not quite reach Guam, probably without warheads. US forces will,
presumably, try to shoot them down, which is maybe about 50/50. The NK will
hope to provoke some kind of retaliation from the US which will, unlike the NK
sabre rattling, kill some people and tend to line the Chinese up behind NK,
effectively neutralising the sanctions.
This will help cement the NK leadership in place. Fear of American air raids
is a very big deal in keeping the NK people in line
Trump is too naive to see this coming. Hopefully when some of his pet
generals tell him he'll listen, but it's not to be counted on.
If North Korea launches against U.S. territory, warheads or no, we can
interpret that as an act of war.
Sure you could. But it doesn't matter, because America never declares war these
days, declaring war brings international obligations, raises the Geneva
convention etc.. What history will remember is who split the first blood, not
who made it official. Actualy, technically, the Korean war never ended, it's
just a temporary truce. Don't need a new war, just thaw out the old one.
No, what matters isn't the official state of hostilities but what happens on
the ground and what the likely results are.
Post by viva padrepio
In 1999 Trump said the time is now to remove all nuclear capabilities from
North Korea before they have any kind of nuclear warhead.
And every president in 50 years would have liked to do that. But then the
Pentagon shows them the result of the war games they've been conducting all
that time. And those results are truely grim. The North Korean military is very
old-fashioned, but also very large and they have huge amounts of artillary
pointed south. The war games predict an horendous death toll. They predict that
any conflict would go nuclear very quickly. Very large numbers of South Koreans
and, probably, Japanese and Chinese people would be killed, let alone the
happless north koreans.
The smart weapons needed to take out widely dispersed artillary are presently
in short supply.
And, remember, America failed to truely defeat the North Koreans the first time
Then there's what happens if North Korea falls. When there's a few million
brainwashed North Koreans on the move. It would make the ISIS refugees look
like a trivial problem.
Post by viva padrepio
Thanks Bill! Thanks George! Thanks Barry! Love the mess you left us!
This one goes right back to the way the original Korean war was left.